Sports Picks & Predictions
Alex Smart |
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Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything. Testing long term $82000.00 plus dime player run! |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | May 09, 2024 Mariners vs Twins |
OVER 6½ -115 |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My own Totals projections estimate a 1.5 run advantage to the over , which is a significant advantage that makes this a viable wager. Seattles starter GILBERT in 30 games when pitching against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in his career. (Team's Record) has seen a combined average of 8.2 rpg scored. Minnesota in their L/ 133 games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 8,8 rpg scored. Minnesotas starter LOPEZ is 11-2 OVER vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 12.3 rpg scored. SEATTLE is 19-7 OVER in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 9.4 rpg scored. MINNESOTA L/30 against AL West opponents over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.3 rpg scored. MLB teams where the total is 7 or less (MINNESOTA /SEATTLE) - in a game involving two good teams (54% to 62%), in May games are 30-4 OVER with a combined average of 10.1 rpg scored. Play over |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | May 09, 2024 Cavs vs Celtics |
Cavs +13½ -105 at Ace |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Cavs played the Celtics tough in game one before tiring and fading in the 2nd half as they exhibited some exhaustion after their hard fought game 7 series vs the Magic from their previous play off round which was mostly a half court slugfest. Now with a little be more rest Im betting the Cavs staying within the slightly bloated number in game 2. The previous 5 meetings in this series all stayed within this spread offering ( with 1, 9, 7, 4, 4 deficits ) with the average ppg diff clicking in at 5. CLEVELAND in 44 games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season have seen an average 4.4 ppg diff.CLEVELAND in 44 games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season have seen a average ppf diff of +0.3. Play on the Cleveland Cavaliers to cover |
SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |